FORECAST SOL: Disturbed red MAG: Moderate yellow ION: Normal green Looking for something? Site search go to search page
HomeSolarSolar ConditionsSummary and Forecast Wednesday, May 06 2015 02:26 UT
Solar Conditions

Summary and Forecast

Solar Summary

(last updated 05 May 2015 23:30 UT)

Activity 05 May: High Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors X2.7 22:11 UT possible lower Eastern Pacific Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 May: 128/81

Solar Forecast

(last updated 05 May 2015 23:30 UT)

06 May 07 May 08 May Activity High High High Fadeouts Probable Probable Probable 10.7cm/SSN 135/89 140/94 145/99 COMMENT: Solar flare activity has been high during the previous 24 hours. AR 2339 produced the largest flare of the day, an X2.7 event peaking at 22:11 UT on May 5. A 10 cm radio burst to 590 sfu occurred at the time of the X2.7 flare. AR 2339 is located on the north east limb and the associated strong CME will not be Earthward directed. AR 2335 has grown in size and complexity and produced an M2.6 flare peaking at 17:24 UT. AR 2335 and AR 2339 produced numerous lesser C class and M class flares. AR 2335 will rotate into the geoeffective zone toward the end of the week. GONG Big Bear H alpha images recorded a Disappearing Solar Filament (DSF) in the Southern Hemisphere just west of the solar meridian at 22 UT, several minutes before the X2.7 flare on the north east limb. The DSF was launched from a potentially geoeffective location. When SOHO LASCO observations become available, they may show an Earthward directed CME. The halo CME launched toward the east during May 2 is expected to arrive at Earth late today, May 6, or possibly early on May 7. The solar wind speed has been approximately 350-400 km/s. The magnitude of IMF has been steady at about 6 nT and the Bz component has been fluctuating mostly in the range -5 nT to +5 nT.

Solar Activity levels are explained in the IPS Solar Terrestrial Glossary.

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