Last updated 02 Sep 2010 01:03 UT Theophrastus. Data and Forecast for 2300Z 31/ 8/2010. Region Data Forecast ----------- -------- Region McIntosh Region Delta Largest Probabilities URSI Number Class Evolution Config. Flare C M X Keyword ------+---------+---------+-------+-------+---+-------------+--------- 1101 Cso stable 30 0 0 QUIET 1102 Cao stable 30 0 0 QUIET Full Disk Prediction is 51 1 1 The flare prediction system Theophrastus is a US expert system which uses the McIntosh spot classification system, historical flare rates, spot growth and spot activity (ie rotation, magnetic shear) to estimate flare probabilities.(Ref. McIntosh, P.S. 1990, Sol Phys., 125,251)