Last updated 09 Feb 2010 00:03 UT Theophrastus. Data and Forecast for 2120Z 8/ 2/2010. Region Data Forecast ----------- -------- Region McIntosh Region Delta Largest Probabilities URSI Number Class Evolution Config. Flare C M X Keyword ------+---------+---------+-------+-------+---+-------------+--------- 1045 Eac decaying M 96 18 2 ERUPTIVE 1046 Bxo stable 2 0 0 QUIET c204 Hsx stable 20 0 0 QUIET Full Disk Prediction is 97 18 2 The flare prediction system Theophrastus is a US expert system which uses the McIntosh spot classification system, historical flare rates, spot growth and spot activity (ie rotation, magnetic shear) to estimate flare probabilities.(Ref. McIntosh, P.S. 1990, Sol Phys., 125,251)