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   Home  Solar  Flare Forecast Tuesday, Feb 09 2010 12:34 UT
Learmonth Observatory 
Flare Forecast

Last updated 09 Feb 2010 01:15 UT

  SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) 
  from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0042 UT ON  09/02/10
 RGN#     Class   Rate  Prob
  1045     EKC    1.33  73.6%
  1046     BXO    0.01   1.0%
  1047     HKX    0.30  25.8%
Total regions =  3    Flare Rate = 1.6/day
Daily flare probability =   80.6%
Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by
Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications,
Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive
Solar Flares October 1991
Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth



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