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   Home  Solar  Flare Forecast Thursday, Mar 18 2010 06:50 UT
Culgoora Observatory 
Flare Forecast

Last updated 18 Mar 2010 00:03 UT

     Theophrastus.   Data and Forecast for 2110Z 17/ 3/2010.

               Region Data                           Forecast
               -----------                           --------
Region  McIntosh  Region   Delta   Largest     Probabilities   URSI
Number   Class   Evolution Config.  Flare        C   M   X    Keyword
------+---------+---------+-------+-------+---+-------------+---------
 1054     Cso     decaying                      30   0   0    QUIET
 1056     Bxo     growing                       20   0   0    QUIET

               Full Disk Prediction is          44   1   1

The flare prediction system Theophrastus is a US expert system which uses
the McIntosh spot classification system, historical flare rates, spot
growth and spot activity (ie rotation, magnetic shear) to estimate flare
probabilities.(Ref. McIntosh, P.S. 1990, Sol Phys., 125,251)



IPS (Ionospheric Prediction Service) is a unit of the Bureau of Meteorology

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