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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Saturday, Oct 25 2014 07:01 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 25 Oct 2014 05:02 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0349 UT ON 25/10/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2193 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2192 FKC 2.29 89.9% 2194 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2195 DSI 0.10 9.7% 2197 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2196 HAX 0.11 10.0% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 2.7/day Daily flare probability = 93.5% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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