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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Thursday, Apr 17 2014 15:27 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 09 Apr 2014 16:11 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from HOLLOMAN SPOTS SUMMARY 1405 UT ON 09/04/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2026 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2027 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2029 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2030 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2031 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2032 DAO 0.11 10.2% 0000 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2033 HSX 0.03 2.6% Total regions = 8 Flare Rate = 0.3/day Daily flare probability = 28.0% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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