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   Home right arrow Solar right arrow Learmonth Observatory right arrow Flare Forecast FORECAST SOL: Normalgreen MAG: Normalgreen ION: Moderateyellow Saturday, Feb 04 2012 07:27 UT
Learmonth Observatory 
Flare Forecast

Last updated 04 Feb 2012 01:49 UT

  SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) 
  from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0105 UT ON  04/02/12
 RGN#     Class   Rate  Prob
  1410     CHO    0.21  19.0%
  1413     DSO    0.03   2.9%
Total regions =  2    Flare Rate = 0.2/day
Daily flare probability =   21.3%
Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by
Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications,
Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive
Solar Flares October 1991
Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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