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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Saturday, Nov 22 2014 04:50 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 22 Nov 2014 02:07 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0032 UT ON 22/11/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2209 FKC 2.29 89.9% 2214 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2215 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2216 DKC 0.92 60.1% Total regions = 4 Flare Rate = 3.3/day Daily flare probability = 96.1% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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