Flare Forecast

(last updated 24 May 2013 01:06 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0030 UT ON 24/05/13 RGN# Class Rate Prob 1748 DRO 0.03 2.9% 1753 DRO 0.03 2.9% 1754 DRO 0.03 2.9% 1755 DAI 0.18 16.6% 1756 EAI 0.59 44.7% Total regions = 5 Flare Rate = 0.9/day Daily flare probability = 57.7% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth