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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Sunday, Sep 21 2014 06:03 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 21 Sep 2014 02:17 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0039 UT ON 21/09/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 0000 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2170 CAO 0.10 9.2% 2169 CAO 0.10 9.2% 2171 DAO 0.11 10.2% 2173 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2172 DAO 0.11 10.2% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 0.4/day Daily flare probability = 36.0% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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