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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Saturday, Nov 01 2014 04:37 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 31 Oct 2014 15:02 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from SAN VITO SPOTS SUMMARY 1210 UT ON 31/10/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2194 HRX 0.03 2.6% 2195 CSO 0.02 1.8% 2196 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2200 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2201 HSX 0.03 2.6% 2202 HSX 0.03 2.6% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 0.1/day Daily flare probability = 12.4% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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