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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Thursday, Aug 28 2014 03:04 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 28 Aug 2014 01:21 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0006 UT ON 28/08/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2146 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2148 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2149 CAO 0.10 9.2% 2150 CSO 0.02 1.8% 2151 HAX 0.11 10.0% 0000 AXX 0.02 1.8% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 0.4/day Daily flare probability = 30.3% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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