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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Sunday, Feb 01 2015 04:05 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 01 Feb 2015 01:47 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0017 UT ON 01/02/15 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2275 HSX 0.03 2.6% 2271 DAO 0.11 10.2% 2273 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2268 FAC 2.10 87.8% 2272 HSX 0.03 2.6% 2277 FKC 2.29 89.9% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 4.6/day Daily flare probability = 99.0% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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