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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Friday, Jul 31 2015 07:19 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

Attention: This page is being replaced by our improved Flare forecast page and will be unavailable from early August 2015.

(last updated 31 Jul 2015 05:12 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0142 UT ON 31/07/15 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2390 DAI 0.18 16.6% 0000 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2391 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2392 AXX 0.02 1.8% 2393 DAO 0.11 10.2% 2394 HAX 0.11 10.0% Total regions = 6 Flare Rate = 0.5/day Daily flare probability = 41.4% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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