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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Wednesday, Apr 23 2014 15:38 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 23 Apr 2014 01:56 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from LEARMONTH SPOTS SUMMARY 0039 UT ON 23/04/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2035 EAC 1.14 68.0% 2038 DAI 0.18 16.6% 2042 CSO 0.02 1.8% 2044 BXO 0.01 1.0% 2045 CSO 0.02 1.8% Total regions = 5 Flare Rate = 1.4/day Daily flare probability = 74.5% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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