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HomeSolarLearmonth ObservatoryFlare Forecast Wednesday, Sep 03 2014 02:07 UT
Learmonth Observatory

Flare Forecast

(last updated 02 Sep 2014 16:17 UT)

SOLAR DAILY FLARE FORECAST ( >= M class) from HOLLOMAN SPOTS SUMMARY 1435 UT ON 02/09/14 RGN# Class Rate Prob 2150 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2151 HAX 0.11 10.0% 2153 CAO 0.10 9.2% 2152 DKC 0.92 60.1% 0000 AXX 0.02 1.8% Total regions = 5 Flare Rate = 1.2/day Daily flare probability = 71.2% Flare probabilities from sunspot information are based on a report by Pat Bornmann and D Shaw / SEC Boulder, Active Region Classifications, Complexity and Flare Rates Submitted to IAU Colloquium 133, Eruptive Solar Flares October 1991 Note: USAF Hollaman and San Vito Observatory Sunspot data used during local night hours at Learmonth

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