[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (27 March 02)

rwc rwc@ips.gov.au
Wed, 27 Mar 2002 11:49:32 +1100 (EST)


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/0200Z MARCH 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (20 MARCH - 26 MARCH)
Date   T index   Conditions        
20 Mar  167      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


21 Mar  167      Normal            
MUFS:
15 to 30% above predicted monthly values


22 Mar  183      Normal            
MUFS:
15 to 30% above predicted monthly values


23 Mar  164      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
5 to 40% above predicted monthly values


24 Mar  149      Normal            
MUFS:
slightly above predicted monthly values


25 Mar  138      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Degraded by upto 35% to enhanced by 30% during the UT
      day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Degraded upto 30% to near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


26 Mar  149      Normal            
MUFS:
5 to 30% above predicted monthly values


Predicted Monthly T index for March: 111
2. FORECAST (27 MARCH - 02 APRIL) 
MUFS: depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 01-Apr, depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 02-Apr,  otherwise MUFs near normal. SWFs probable early in week.
Propagation conditions: Fair 01-Apr Fair 02-Apr , otherwise normal. SWfs probable early in week.
T index:  155

3. OUTLOOK (03 APRIL - 03 MAY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
20-Apr.

PEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc@ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060