From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Apr 6 11:52:52 2005 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed Apr 6 11:52:55 2005 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (06 April 05) Message-ID: <200504060152.j361qqud010264@numbat.syd.ips.gov.au> SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED AT 06/0200Z APRIL 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (30 MARCH - 05 APRIL) Date T index Conditions 30 Mar 45 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 31 Mar 34 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 01 Apr 42 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 02 Apr 35 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 03 Apr 41 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: No data available during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 04 Apr 38 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 05 Apr 50 Poor MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Depressed by 15% during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for April: 29 2. FORECAST (06 APRIL - 12 APRIL) MUFS: MUF depressions possible after local dawn for 06-Apr to 07-Apr, and on 12-Apr. Otherwise MUFs near normal. No SWFs. Propagation conditions: Normal-Fair 06-Apr to 07-Apr and 12-Apr, otherwise normal. No SWFs T index: 50 COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 17 was issued on 4 April and is current for interval 4-6 April. 3. OUTLOOK (13 APRIL - 13 MAY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 13-Apr to 16Apr, 29-Apr to 02-May, 09-May to 10-May. PLEASE NOTE: At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently determined by short timescale events, not able to be forecasted a week in advance. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc@ips.gov.au PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email no-spam@ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE" From rwc at ips.gov.au Tue Apr 12 10:31:22 2005 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Tue Apr 12 10:31:24 2005 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (12 April 05) Message-ID: <200504120031.j3C0VMNq020212@numbat.syd.ips.gov.au> SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED AT 12/0200Z APRIL 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (05 APRIL - 11 APRIL) Date T index Conditions 05 Apr 50 Poor MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Depressed by 15% during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 06 Apr 66 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 60% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 20% over the UT day. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 25% over the UT day. 07 Apr 61 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Enhanced by 25% after local dawn. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 15-20%. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 08 Apr 46 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day, No data available during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 09 Apr 42 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 10 Apr 53 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Enhanced by 20% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 30% over the UT day. 11 Apr 46 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 30% during local night. Range spread observed 12-15UT at Vanimo. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for April: 29 2. FORECAST (12 APRIL - 18 APRIL) MUFS: depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 12-Apr, otherwise MUFs near normal. Propagation conditions: Fair 12-Apr , otherwise normal. No SWFs T index: 20 12 Apr, 55 other days. COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 18 was issued on 10 April and is current for interval 12-13 April. Coronal hole wind stream induced activity expected. 3. OUTLOOK (19 APRIL - 19 MAY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 29-Apr to 02-May,10-May. PLEASE NOTE: At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently determined by short timescale events, not able to be forecasted a week in advance. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc@ips.gov.au PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email no-spam@ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE" From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Apr 13 09:37:02 2005 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed Apr 13 09:37:05 2005 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (13 April 05) Message-ID: <200504122337.j3CNb2CD007954@numbat.syd.ips.gov.au> SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED AT 13/0200Z APRIL 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST +++ CORRECTED COPY +++ 1. SUMMARY (06 APRIL - 12 APRIL) Date T index Conditions 06 Apr 66 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 60% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 20% over the UT day. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 25% over the UT day. 07 Apr 61 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Enhanced by 25% after local dawn. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 15-20%. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 08 Apr 46 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day, No data available during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 09 Apr 42 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 10 Apr 53 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Enhanced by 20% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 30% over the UT day. 11 Apr 46 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 30% during local night. Range spread observed 12-15UT at Vanimo. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 12 Apr 70 Fair MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 20% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day, Enhanced by 25% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for April: 29 2. FORECAST (13 APRIL - 19 APRIL) MUFS: depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 14-Apr, otherwise MUFs near normal. Propagation conditions: Fair late 13-14 Apr , otherwise normal. No SWFs T index: 20 on 14 Apr, 55 other days. COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 18 was issued on 10 April and is current for interval 12-13 April. Coronal hole wind stream induced activity expected. MUFs were not depressed on 12 April. 3. OUTLOOK (19 APRIL - 19 MAY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 29-Apr to 02-May,10-May. PLEASE NOTE: At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently determined by short timescale events, not able to be forecasted a week in advance. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc@ips.gov.au PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email no-spam@ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE" From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Apr 20 11:53:43 2005 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed Apr 20 11:53:46 2005 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (20 April 05) Message-ID: <200504200153.j3K1rhg8000525@numbat.syd.ips.gov.au> SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED AT 20/0200Z APRIL 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (13 APRIL - 19 APRIL) Date T index Conditions 13 Apr 50 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: No data available during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 14 Apr 26 Fair-normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 45% during local night. Enhanced by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Depressed by 25% during local day, Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Depressed by 15% over the UT day with periods of minor to significant degradations. 15 Apr 28 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day, No data available during local night. Enhanced by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values with periods of minor to significant degradations. 16 Apr 28 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Depressed by 15% over the UT day with periods of minor to significant degradations. 17 Apr 29 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 30% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day with periods of minor to significant degradations. 18 Apr 35 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Enhanced by 45% during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values with periods of minor to significant degradations. 19 Apr 31 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values with periods of minor to significant degradations. Predicted Monthly T index for April: 29 2. FORECAST (20 APRIL - 26 APRIL) MUFS: Minor to mild depressions possible from 20 to 24 April, especially in the Sourthern Aus/NZ regions, otherwise MUFs near normal. Propagation conditions: Mostly normal in the Northern Aus/NZ regions. Minor to mild degradations possible in HF conditions in Southern Aus/NZ regions from 20 to 24 April. T index: 30 3. OUTLOOK (27 APRIL - 27 MAY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 01 to 02 May, 10 May, 18 to 20 May. PLEASE NOTE: At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently determined by short timescale events, not able to be forecasted a week in advance. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc@ips.gov.au PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email no-spam@ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE" From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Apr 27 11:00:00 2005 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed Apr 27 11:00:03 2005 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (27 April 05) Message-ID: <200504270100.j3R100wE021228@numbat.syd.ips.gov.au> SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED AT 27/0200Z APRIL 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (20 APRIL - 26 APRIL) Date T index Conditions 20 Apr 43 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): 15% depressed to Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 21 Apr 35 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 22 Apr 26 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: No data available during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 23 Apr 43 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: No data available during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 24 Apr 46 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: No data available during local day, No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 25 Apr 44 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: No data available during local day, Enhanced by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 30% during local night. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 26 Apr 34 Normal MUFS: Equatorial PNG Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values, Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian and New Zealand Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for April: 29 2. FORECAST (27 APRIL - 03 MAY) MUFS: mildly depressed after local dawn on 01-02 May, otherwise MUFs near normal. No SWFs. Propagation conditions: Fair 01-02 May , otherwise normal. No SWFs T index: 30 3. OUTLOOK (04 MAY - 03 JUNE) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 10-May,28-May to 29-May. PLEASE NOTE: At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently determined by short timescale events, not able to be forecasted a week in advance. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc@ips.gov.au PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to receive this promotional material please email no-spam@ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE"